UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 - Fight Guide, Preview, Odds, Prediction, and How to Watch
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| Alexander Volkanovski (left) during his 2025 win over Diego Lopes (Getty) |
UFC 325 at a Glance
UFC 325 returns the UFC to Australia with one of the most meaningful featherweight rematches in recent memory. On Saturday, January 31, 2026, hometown icon Alexander Volkanovski faces dangerous contender Diego Lopes in a five-round main event that could reshape the 145-pound division.
• Venue: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney Olympic Park, Australia
• Main Card Time (Local): Approx. 10:00 PM AEDT
• Main Event Time (USA): Approx. 6:00 AM ET / 3:00 AM PT
With a sold-out crowd expected and global attention locked in, UFC 325 is positioned as one of the most important cards of early 2026.
Read more: UFC 2026 Full Schedule (Updated): Dates, Times, Locations, Previews, Odds, and How to Watch Worldwide
The Story Behind Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
The first meeting between Volkanovski and Lopes was competitive and tense, blending Lopes’ aggression with Volkanovski’s composure and tactical control. While Volkanovski ultimately emerged ahead, many fans felt the bout raised unanswered questions — particularly about how Lopes might perform with adjustments over five full rounds.
This rematch is not simply about settling a score. It represents a classic crossroads fight: an established legend defending his place against a rising threat entering his physical prime.
Profiles: Alexander Volkanovski
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Division: Featherweight (145 lbs / 65.8 kg)
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Nationality: Australian
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Born: September 29, 1988
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Birthplace: Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia
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Fighting Out Of: Windang, New South Wales, Australia
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Height: 5 ft 6 in (168 cm)
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Reach: 71.5 in (182 cm)
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Stance: Orthodox
Professional Record:
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Record: 26–4 (as of early 2026)
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Wins by KO/TKO: 13
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Wins by Submission: 3
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Wins by Decision: 10
Style & Strengths:
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High-volume striking
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Elite footwork and fight IQ
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Excellent cardio and durability
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Strong takedown defense
UFC Background:
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Former long-reigning UFC Featherweight Champion
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Multiple successful title defenses
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Widely regarded as one of the greatest featherweights in UFC history
Read more: What Is UFC White House? Date, Venue, Fighters, How to Watch
Profiles: Diego Lopes
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Division: Featherweight (145 lbs / 65.8 kg)
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Nationality: Brazilian
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Born: December 30, 1994
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Birthplace: Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil
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Fighting Out Of: Puebla, Mexico
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Height: 5 ft 11 in (180 cm)
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Reach: 72 in (183 cm)
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Stance: Orthodox
Professional Record:
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Record: 23–6 (as of early 2026)
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Wins by KO/TKO: 9
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Wins by Submission: 10
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Wins by Decision: 4
Style & Strengths:
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Aggressive, pressure-heavy offense
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Dangerous submission game
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Strong finishing instinct
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Willingness to take risks
UFC Background:
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Rapid rise through the featherweight division
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Known for exciting performances and high finish rate
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Viewed as one of the most dangerous contenders outside the title picture
Read more: How to Watch UFC Live on Paramount+ in 2026: Plans, Costs (USA, Global Viewing)
Alexander Volkanovski: Champion’s Mindset, Veteran Reality
Volkanovski enters UFC 325 as one of the most complete featherweights the sport has ever seen. His résumé includes elite wins, championship rounds experience, and a reputation for game-planning better than almost anyone in MMA.
Strengths and advantages:
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Exceptional cardio across five rounds
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Elite footwork, distance management, and feinting
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Strong takedown defense and cage awareness
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High-level adaptability mid-fight
At this stage of his career, the key question is not skill but sustainability. Volkanovski has absorbed years of high-level competition. Still, fighting in Sydney — where he has historically performed at his best — gives him a psychological and emotional edge that few champions enjoy.
Diego Lopes: The Dangerous Variable
Lopes represents the kind of challenger champions dread: fearless, unpredictable, and confident enough to push the pace from the opening bell. His rise through the division has been built on pressure, creative offense, and a willingness to take risks.
What makes Lopes dangerous:
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Explosive striking combinations
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Strong submission instincts during scrambles
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Youth and durability
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Momentum and confidence
The concern for Lopes is endurance. Five rounds against Volkanovski is a different test than early-round chaos. If Lopes cannot maintain discipline and energy, openings will appear.
Technical Breakdown: How Each Fighter Wins
Volkanovski’s path to victory
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Keep the fight at mid-range
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Target legs and body to slow Lopes
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Avoid reckless exchanges early
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Gradually increase volume rounds 3–5
Lopes’ path to victory
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Pressure early and force mistakes
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Mix striking with takedown attempts
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Capitalize on transitions and scrambles
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Finish before Volkanovski settles into rhythm
This is a fight where patience versus urgency defines the outcome.
Odds Outlook and Betting Perspective
While official betting lines will be released closer to fight week, early projections suggest:
• Volkanovski: Betting favorite due to experience and five-round success
• Lopes: Live underdog with real finishing upside
Expect odds movement based on weigh-ins, training footage, and late-week narratives. Historically, Volkanovski performs well when favored, but Lopes presents more volatility than a typical challenger.
Prediction
Quick Matchup Snapshot• Experience edge: Volkanovski • Finishing threat: Lopes • Five-round cardio: Volkanovski • Chaos factor: Lopes |
The early rounds should be competitive, with Lopes landing moments of success. As the fight progresses, Volkanovski’s efficiency and composure are likely to take over.
Official Prediction: Volkanovski by unanimous decision
Alternate scenario: Late TKO for Volkanovski if Lopes fades under sustained pressure
How to Watch UFC 325 Live in USA, Australia
United States
UFC 325 will stream live on Paramount+.
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Main card and prelims included
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On-demand replays available
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Supported on smart TVs, mobile devices, and desktop
Australia
UFC 325 airs live in prime time through official local broadcast partners, making this one of the most accessible UFC events for Australian fans.
Canada
Available via licensed sports broadcasters and approved streaming platforms.
UK & Europe
Live coverage typically begins in the early morning hours via regional UFC broadcast partners.
Tip: Always confirm start times based on your local time zone.
FAQs
Is UFC 325 a title fight?
The bout carries major title implications and is positioned as a marquee featherweight main event.
What time does Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 start in the U.S.?
Approximately 6:00 AM ET, depending on card length.
Is this a pay-per-view?
In the U.S., the event is included with Paramount+ coverage. Availability varies internationally.
Where is UFC 325 held?
Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney Olympic Park, Australia.
Final Word
UFC 325 is more than a rematch. It’s a test of legacy versus momentum, experience versus ambition. For Volkanovski, it’s about reaffirming his place among the greats. For Lopes, it’s a chance to change the division overnight.
With a global audience, a passionate home crowd, and two contrasting styles, Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 stands as one of the most compelling UFC main events of 2026.

