PREVIEW Belgium vs Italy: Predictions, Team News, Betting Tips, How to Watch
|Belgium vs Italy -|
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Belgium vs Italy: Kick-off time, venue and TV channels
Kick-off time: 20:00 BST, Friday
TV channel: TBC
Venue: Allianz Arena - Munich, Germany
How to watch Belgium vs Italy
TV channel: The match will be televised on BBC One for free.
Live stream: UK viewers will be able to watch the match online via the BBC iPlayer.
Belgium vs Italy: Match preview
Belgium (+280) suffered a massive beating against Portugal. The rivals wanted to hurt the Red Devils’ players, especially De Bruyne, whom they eliminated in the second half, and Hazard. We also want to say that what we saw from Selecao is a disgrace for football.
But to get back to Belgium’s performance. They could have scored the second goal in the finish if it weren’t for some odd decisions from Thorgan Hazard, who didn’t pass the ball to his teammates on several occasions.
Overall, this is the 13th straight match for the Red Devils without losing and the fifth consecutive win. Their backline allowed just one goal during that stretch which is amazing.
Italy (+100) didn’t shine against Austria in the round of 16 as they did in the group stage. Azzurri had to go through overtime to take down the courageous neighbors. It was 2-1 for Mancini’s side, which allowed a goal following 11 straight games without one. Some suggest that it took place in the extra times and that it won’t count, be we will.
This was the 31st match in a row for this unit without a defeat, but an 11th consecutive win. When looking at these stats, the Italians are by far the team with the best form on EURO 2020.
The heroes against Austria were the youngsters – Federico Chiesa and Matteo Pessina, the guy who shouldn’t even be here, as he wasn’t Mancini’s original pick for the EURO squad. However, he ended up on the roster following certain injuries.
Belgium vs Italy: Team news
Goalkeepers: Thibaut Courtois, Simon Mignolet, Matz Sels
Defenders: Jan Vertonghen, Toby Alderweireld, Thomas Vermaelen, Thomas Meunier, Jason Denayer, Dedryck Boyata, Leander Dendoncker, Timothy Castagne
Midfielders: Axel Witsel, Kevin De Bruyne, Nacer Chadli, Yannick Carrasco, Youri Tielemans, Thorgan Hazard, Dennis Praet, Hans Vanaken
Forwards: Eden Hazard, Dries Mertens, Romelu Lukaku, Christian Benteke, Michy Batshuayi, Jeremy Doku, Leandro Trossard
Goalkeepers: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Alex Meret, Salvatore Sirigu
Defenders: Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni, Leonardo Bonucci, Giorgio Chiellini, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Emerson Palmieri, Alessandro Florenzi, Leonardo Spinazzola, Rafael Toloi
Midfielders: Nicolo Barella, Bryan Cristante, Jorginho, Manuel Locatelli, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Stefano Sensi, Marco Verratti
Forwards: Andrea Belotti, Domenico Berardi, Federico Bernardeschi, Federico Chiesa, Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Insigne, Giacomo Raspadori
Eden Hazard reportedly finished his EURO 2020 participation, the latest tests reveal. Dirty plays from the Portuguese team took a toll in the end. The latest sources are suggesting that Kevin De Bruyne won’t be able to play to against Italy.
Giorgio Chiellini will be ready for this match, the Italian sources claim. Alessandro Florenzi‘s state is still doubtful.
Belgium vs Italy: Predictions
Without De Bruyne and Hazard, Belgium’s prospects for the next stage are pretty slim, However, we simply can’t bet against them because they have Romelu Lukaku who is a massive advantage upfront. Inter’s superstar knows all of the opponents very well, and he could be and X-factor on the field. Our suggestion here would be under 2.5 goals, with the odds on that -195.
Belgium have an abundance of talent in their squad but will have to make do without the talismanic Kevin De Bruyne in this game. With Eden Hazard also injured, the Red Devils will face one of their most difficult battles in recent years.
Italy faced a fair share of problems against Austria but their superior bench strength saw them through what was a fitting litmus test. The Azzurri hold a slight upper hand at the moment and could book themselves a place in the semifinals this weekend.
Prediction: Belgium 2-3 Italy
Belgium possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Alderweireld, Vermaelen, Vertonghen; T. Hazard, Witsel, Tielemans, Meunier; Mertens, Lukaku, Carrasco
Italy possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bonucci, Chiellini, Spinazzola; Barella, Jorginho, Verratti; Chiesa, Immobile, Insigne
Belgium vs Italy: Betting tips and odds
Head to head (h2h) history and results
Belgium wins: 4
Italy wins: 14
Betting odds and tips
Belgium to reach semi-final: 4/6
Italy to reach semi-final: 11/10
We think it’s worth betting on the Belgians in this match. It’s as simple as that. One team has already shown three variations of themselves in the course of the tournament. There were wins over Russia and Finland, where they were in the role of the clear leader and played at their pleasure. There was the match with Denmark where they had to play back and under pressure. We saw a third Belgium in the match against Portugal. They scored and just defended. Did it work? Yes. No questions. And what about Italy? Three wins over modest teams in the group and a terrible game in the first match of the playoffs, where they faced a team, albeit modest, but very hungry for victory. So we suggest betting on Belgium to reach the semi-finals for 2.19.
We also advise taking a closer look at the bet on Belgium’s victory in regular time. But the bookmakers overestimate the odds on the Belgians, and for some reason, they so clearly believe in the Italians. We can and should try to take advantage of it. We can bet on Belgium to win the match in regulation time for 3.36!
Finally, I would like to highlight Belgian forward Romelu Lukaku. I think this person does not need an introduction, almost everyone is talking about him. Lukaku plays for Inter Milan and has studied Italian defenders to such an extent that he scored 24 goals last season. Francesco Acerbi and Leonardo Bonucci, although undoubtedly cool players, seem to have retired by now. Especially in the absence of Kevin De Bruyne, it will be Romelu Lukaku who will receive the most attention and will rely on his skill. His goal for 2.50 looks like an excellent option.
Tip 1: Under 2.5 Goals
When these two countries last locked horns, at Euro 2016, under 2.5 goals were produced as Italy claimed a 2-0 win. Four of Belgium's last six international matches have witnessed fewer than three goals being scored and we all know how strong that Italian defence is. Roberto Mancini's men finally conceded a goal for the first time in 12 matches during their game against Austria but even then, they kept a clean sheet during the initial 90-minutes.
Tip 2: Draw
Four of the 11 meetings between Belgium and Italy have ended in stalemates and we backing the pair to cancel one another out in the opening 90-minutes of Friday's clash. Belgium are unbeaten in their last 13 matches while Italy haven't lost any of their last 31 fixtures, so you can see just why we're backing a draw between the pair.
Tip 3: Italy to Qualify
Italy have won three of their last four encounters with Belgium, beating the Red Devils in the group stage of Euro 2016 and Euro 2000, and have the added experience of being one of the few countries to have won this competition on multiple occasions. Many pundits believe that this Euros and the World Cup in Qatar are the final chances for their ‘Golden Generation' to finally win a trophy, something that only adds pressure onto the player's shoulders.
Belgium vs. Italy
At least one major team bettors are backing to win the tournament is going home here. Belgium’s golden generation is fighting for an elusive trophy while Italy looks to use its new style to capture European glory. It’s a shame these teams have to meet this early, but sometimes that’s how the bracket breaks. Italy is deservedly favored, but Belgium is no pushover in this contest.
Belgium vs Italy: Head to Head Games
Belgium and Italy met in the group stage of the previous EURO, held in France in 2016. Azzurri won that game 2-0. Giaccherini and Pelle scored both goals, but the man of the match was Leonardo Bonucci.
Below is the full schedule for the second round of the knockout stages:
Friday, July 2
Switzerland vs. Spain – 12 p.m. ET/9 a.m. PT
Belgium vs. Italy – 3 p.m. ET/12 p.m. PT
Saturday, July 3
Czech Republic vs. Denmark – 12 p.m. ET/9 a.m. PT
Ukraine vs. England – 3 p.m. ET/12 p.m. PT
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