India weather forecast February 2021: South Peninsula may experience normal to above-normal rain
Snow clearance operations in progress in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir as fresh snowfall disrupts normal life; January 23, 2021. Photo: Bilal Bahadur/BCCL Delhi

More Snowfall, Rain Expected over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh on February 2-3; Moderate Thunderstorms Also on Horizon

As severe cold continues to grip the northernmost parts of India on Thursday, January 28, the met office has forecast yet another spell of snow and rain over the region on February 2-3, the Weather Channel reported.

According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), a fresh western disturbance—an extratropical storm that originates in the Mediterranean region, travels eastwards, and brings precipitation over the northern parts of the Indian subcontinent during the winter months—is once again set to affect the North Indian weather starting Monday, February 1.

Under the influence of this system, isolated to scattered rains and/or snowfall, along with moderate thunderstorms and lightning, are expected over the Western Himalayan region (WHR) between February 1-3, 2021.

Dry weather is likely to continue in Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh till January 31, after which we are expecting a spell of snow and rain of light intensity on February 2 and 3,” an official of the MET department told IANS.

"Improvement in both minimum and maximum temperatures is expected after January 31," the official added.

At present, the ongoing 40-day-long period of harsh winter cold, known as the 'Chillai Kalan', has continued to bring zero to sub-zero temperatures in parts of the WHR. This period, too, will end on January 31.

Above normal rain, tolerable summer likely for India

Two leading Asian and a European agency have predicted normal to above-normal rain for the South Peninsula for February with the likely possibility of the unseasonal wet spell extending into March. At least two of them see a good pre-monsoon season (April-May) for the country as a whole followed by a strong start to the 2021 South-West monsoon, according to thehindubusinessline.

These are early days to make an informed call on the type of weather likely panning out five to six months hence with the transitional phase of a prevailing La Nina in the tropical Pacific lending a seasonally unpredictable touch, but the near-unanimous view of these agencies makes for interesting study.

The agencies being tracked for this story are the Application Laboratory of the Japanese national forecaster Jamstec; the Busan, South Korea-based APEC Climate Centre; and the UK Met Office. Most of them point towards less than normally hot or a mild summer ahead for most of India.

The South Korean agency has forecast normal to above-normal rainfall for the South Peninsula during February-March-April. The rest of the country would witness normal rainfall except in the North-West (Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Punjab) where it would be below normal.

The UK Met Office agrees with this, and goes to extend the above-normal rainfall to West Maharashtra right up to Mumbai. For the month of February, the Korean agency sees excess rain for South Coastal Tamil Nadu and adjoining South Kerala while deficit is indicated for North-West India. The Japanese agency agrees with this outlook.

* Also read: UK and Europe February Weather Forecast: Average Temperatures, How Sunny or Snowy

As for March, the Korean forecast continues to suggest above-normal rain for the South Peninsula, deficit in the North-West and normal rain for the rest of the country. The Japanese agency sees above-normal rain for not only the South Peninsula but also for East India (states of Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Bihar).

Outlook for April shows excess rainfall for extreme South Peninsula and normal for the rest of the country except in the North-West, says the Japanese agency. The Korean forecaster tends to see the pattern for the first pre-monsoon month more likely to mimic that of February and March.

The Korean agency doesn’t stop there but goes on to predict above-normal rain for most of the country for May-June-July with excess rain indicated for Kerala, Coastal Karnataka and West Maharashtra along the West Coast right up to Mumbai and also for North Interior Karnataka, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh.

In February, the western coast of South India undergoes the influence of the Arabian Sea and experiences a strong increase in heat. In the south, the freshness is still one the program while in the center, most localities know a climate throughout February in India that is simply perfect.

Southern India In February

Depending on the locality one wishes to visit in the south of India, it is possible to enjoy a wonderful weather with sunshine and a comfortable warmth. In Calcutta or Kerala, one must still prepare to face a strong heat. This is also the case on the west coast, especially in Bombay.

Central India In February

The month of February is one of the best moments to discover the Taj Mahal under a mild sky, where the heat is pleasant enough to allow to dress in a sari or jabador. Rains are indeed very rare, however, some regions experience a few stormy episodes.

Central India In February

The locality of Rishikesh is an ideal destination to re-energize, with the complicity of a pleasant weather throughout February in India. Admittedly, the morning atmosphere is fresh but with the hours passing by, a pleasant and warm atmosphere dominates the rest of the day. In the state of Jammu and Kashmir, winter is rather rough.

The climate in Delhi in February

India weather forecast February 2021: South Peninsula may experience normal to above-normal rain
Photo: Whereandwhen.net

In the month of February, maximum temperature is 25°C and minimum temperature is 15°C (for an average temperature of 20°C). The climate nice in this location in February. With about 17mm over 2 days, the rain will not be a problem during your holidays.

Climate in Mumbai in February

India weather forecast February 2021: South Peninsula may experience normal to above-normal rain
Photo: Whereandwhen.net

In the month of February, maximum temperature is 31°C and minimum temperature is 26°C (for an average temperature of 28°C). The climate is very warm in this city in this month. It's raining really exceptionally during the month of February.

The climate in Kerala in February

India weather forecast February 2021: South Peninsula may experience normal to above-normal rain
Photo: Whereandwhen.net

In February, maximum temperature is 30°C and minimum temperature is 22°C (for an average temperature of 26°C). The climate is very hot there in February. With barely 14mm over 3 days, it rains very little throughout your stay.

The climate in Goa in February

India weather forecast February 2021: South Peninsula may experience normal to above-normal rain
Photo: Whereandwhen.net

In the month of February, the mean temperature in Goa is 30°C (maximum temperature is 34°C and minimum temperature is 25°C). The climate is very warm in this city in February. It's raining really exceptionally during the month of February. You will therefore be at the shelter from rain during your vacations!

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