Brazil or Argentina to Win: Top Bettting Tips, Best Predictions
|Copa America final: Brazil vs. Argentina predictions, expert picks, betting odds|
Argentina booked their spot against Brazil in the finals of the Copa America which is to be hosted at Maracanã stadium in Brazil. The stage is set for the two biggest names of world football, Lionel Messi and Neymar Jnr, to battle against each other for the South American crown.
One of the biggest rivalries in world football, Argentina and Brazil will meet again on the 11th of July.
Argentina have scored 11 goals in the tournament so far while conceding just three goals. As for the Seleção, they have scored just 12 goals in the tournament while conceding only 2 goals.
|Brazil vs. Argentina |
Date: Saturday, July 10 | Time: 8 p.m. ET | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)
William Hill Sportbook Odds: Brazil +115, Draw +210, Argentina +275
Brazil vs Argentina: Best Predictions
Based on talent, recent h2h record, form, home advantage, and an extra day of rest, Brazil surely have the edge. But this is a final, and this is probably the last chance for Leo Messi to lift a title with his national team. This match-up is not going to be easy for Tite’s men.
Brazil to Win:
*Both the teams are evenly matched on the paper but it will be very difficult for the Argentines to get the better of the Brazilians on their own soil. Nevertheless, with Messi on their side, anything is possible. Brazil will head into the game as favourites, considering Argentina’s poor record in the finals.
*Brazil simply are the better side and might even dominate this game if any of their attackers manage to find their form in front of goal. The Hard Tackle predicts this game to be decided on the finest of margins, though, perhaps even in late injury time.
Brazil do have the advantage on paper with their strong defensive setup. However, their home advantage will be rendered ineffective in an empty Maracana, while it is also fair to point out that the Selecao haven’t looked all that convincing after the first couple of matches.
It gives Argentine the slight edge heading into this game. Unlike previous years, this current Argentine has a certain belief about them and thanks to the emergence of stars like Paredes and Rodriguez; they know how to play dirty, which often becomes useful in games of this magnitude. Not to mention, their goalkeeper Emi Martinez has given them that extra assurance, should the game head into the tiebreaker.
Gonzalez (CBSSport): I really think Argentina can pull this off, especially if Cristian Romero plays. But Brazil will no doubt get their chances, and if they can be a bit sharper in front of goal than they have been lately, they'll be repeat champions with Neymar leading the way. Pick: Brazil 2, Argentina 1
Argentina to Win:
*A win for Argentina means they'd etch their name on the trophy for the 15th time in the history of the competition, which would match Uruguay for most Copa Americas (Brazil sits with nine). What's more is that Lionel Messi, arguably the greatest player to put on an Argentina shirt, has never won a trophy for his nation at the senior level. This might be the very last time the 34-year-old plays a final and has a chance to win a title for Argentina.
*The last game that Argentina lost came two years ago -- in Brazil, to Brazil, in the semifinals of the 2019 Copa.
They are much more of a team now. The gap between the two sides has narrowed. Has it closed? Two factors would seem to tip the balance Brazil's way. For all Argentina's improvement, Brazil still seem to have the better balance between attack and defence. And for all the impressive patterns of Argentina's midfield play, they appear unable to sustain it and as a result spend more of their matches under pressure.
On the other hand, Messi has been the outstanding player. Only the bitter would begrudge him a trophy, but he is going to have to earn it, because Brazil are the (narrow) favourites.
Johnson (CBSSport): It feels like this might well be the year that Messi ends his title drought at international level. Despite Neymar's best efforts, Emi Martinez will help the legendary Argentine to Copa America glory. Pick: Brazil 1, Argentina 2.
Brazil vs Argentina: Top Betting Odds
|Brazil vs Argentina Football Predictions And Betting Odds|
Brazil vs Argentina: Betting Analysis & Pick
Brazil have the slight edge in this matchup and have been the better team, but the number makes them a significantly better side, which they haven’t been in the six matches each has played in this tournament.
Argentina are undervalued to get this into extra time or even win it in the 90, and if the bad finishing run of Brazil continues, don’t be surprised if Argentina lift the trophy on Saturday.
With that being said, Brazil’s better squad depth makes them favorites if the game goes into extra time, so I like Argentina +0.5 in the opening 90 minutes. Brazil is slightly too big of a favorite given the underlying metrics and an improved Argentina.
Pick: Argentina +0.5 (-140 or better)
Brazil vs Argentina: Head to head
As recorded by FIFA, out of the 105 games played between the giants, Brazil have won 41 and Argentina have grabbed 38, respectively. They have shared the spoils in 26 games. Brazil have scored a total of 163 goals against Argentina, while Argentina have found the net a total of 160 times against Brazil.
Latest meeting: Brazil 0–1 Argentina (2019)
Largest victory: Argentina 6-1 Brazil
First meeting: Argentina 3–0 Brazil
Most wins: Brazil (41)
Key Stats - Brazil vs Argentina
*Lionel Messi has been arguably the best player in Copa America 2021 so far, securing four man of the match awards in six of Argentina’s matches.
*Argentina are currently experiencing a 28-year trophy drought, with their last major title being the 1993 Copa America in Ecuador.
*La Albiceleste also slightly lag behind Brazil in terms of head-to-head record, securing 39 victories compared to the Selecao‘s 44 in a total of 105 matches.
*With five goals, Messi could become the second-highest all-time goalscorer in this Latin American Superclassico if he can score in the final this weekend, moving just two short of Pele’s record eight goals.
*These two sides last met in a friendly back in November 2019, with Messi scoring in a narrow 1-0 win for Argentina.
How to watch Brazil vs Argentina?
- Date: Saturday, July 10
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channels: FS1
- Spanish-language TV: Univision, TUDN
- Streaming: fuboTV (free 7-day trial); Fox Sports app / TUDN.tv for authenticated subscribers
The 2021 Copa America final between South American giants Brazil and Argentina will be broadcast in English on FS1 and in Spanish on Univision and TUDN.
Those networks are available to stream on fuboTV, which is available on a free 7-day trial. Authenticated subscribers only can stream the match on the FOX Sports app or TUDN.tv
Brazil vs Argentina projected lineups
Brazil projected lineups
For the final against Argentina he’ll have to do without Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus, who will be serving the second of a two-game suspension imposed by governing body CONMEBOL for the karate kick he delivered against Chile. Everton Cebolinha will assume the wide right attacking spot.
Also, Brazil left back Alex Sandro hasn’t participated in full team training due to a left hamstring injury and Renan Lodi will start again in his place.
Brazil (4-3-3, left to right): 23-Ederson — 16-Renan Lodi, 3-Thiago Silva, 2-Danilo, 4-Marquinhos — 8-Fred, 5-Casemiro, 17-Lucas Paqueta — 7-Richarlison, 10-Neymar, 19-Everton
Argentina projected lineups
In the Argentina camp, center back Cristian “Cuti” Romero is back training with his teammates and said to be an option to start. But it’s hard to see Argentina manager Lionel Scaloni disrupting his team’s defensive flow with German Pezzella. The starting fullbacks are also up in the air, but Nicolas Tagliafico (left) and Nahuel Molina (right) could be preferred for their defensive qualities.
In midfield Scaloni has mixed and matched all tournament long, but for the final Argentine media is expecting that Guido Rodriguez and Rodrigo De Paul remain as locks with the third midfielder being either Leandro Paredes or Giovani Lo Celso. The latter would seem to have the edge based on his play thus far.
Argentina (4-3-3, left to right): 23-Emiliano Martínez-GK — 3-Nicolas Tagliafico, 19-Nicolas Otamendi, 6-German Pezzella, 26-Nahuel Molina — 20-Giovani Lo Celso, 18-Guido Rodriguez, 7-Rodrigo De Paul — 15-Nicolas Gonzalez, 22-Lautaro Martínez, 10-Lionel Messi
Match Preview Update
Brazil came into this year's edition of the Copa America with major expectations as the pre-tournament favourites, and they got off to a strong start in the group stage with three consecutive wins.
The Selecao started with a 3-0 victory over Venezuela and a 4-0 thrashing of Peru, before they had to show a different side to their game to defeat Colombia.
Their opponents took an early lead through Luis Diaz, and Tite's men had to dig deep in their pursuit of an equaliser, finally drawing level in the 78th minute through Roberto Firmino before Casemiro headed in a corner in the 10th minute of added time to claim their third straight win and make the gap at the top the group insurmountable for the chasing pack.
The defending champions were unable to finish the group stage with a perfect record, though, drawing 1-1 with Ecuador in the final game as Angel Mena drew La Tricolor level after Eder Militao opened the scoring for Brazil.
Their first-placed finish saw Tite's men handed a quarter-final tie with Group A's fourth-placed side, although that was a particularly tough draw as the Selecao would take on Chile in Rio de Janeiro.
Lucas Paqueta put Brazil ahead in the first two minutes of the second half, but a red card to Manchester City forward Gabriel Jesus two minutes later meant they had to defend a narrow lead with 10 men for 40 minutes.
They would stand strong to keep a clean sheet and progress to the final four, and Peru awaited Tite's side.
Paqueta again made the difference in that game, scoring in the 35th minute to give Brazil their second consecutive 1-0 win and book their place in Sunday's final.
The Selecao now head into their 21st Copa America final with high expectations, having won nine of those, including the 2019 edition of the tournament.
That tournament again took place in Brazil, and the hosts defeated a resilient Peru side 3-1 in the final as Everton, Jesus and Richarlison got on the scoresheet.
Brazil will now hope for a repeat of that outcome on Sunday, as they aim to retain the title on home turf two years later.
They take on an Argentina side who will look to end a 28-year drought in this tournament with a win at the Olympic Stadium on Sunday.
La Albiceleste had somewhat of a contrasting group campaign to their final opponents, having drawn their opening game before growing into the tournament.
Scaloni's side were held to a 1-1 draw by Chile in their first outing, as Eduardo Vargas drew La Roja level on the hour mark after Lionel Messi netted a pinpoint free kick in the first half.
They quickly started a winning run after that, though, picking up crucial 1-0 victories over Paraguay and fellow group favourites Uruguay in the following matches.
Argentina then finished the group campaign with a 4-1 thrashing of strugglers Bolivia, as Messi hit a brace in between goals from Alejandro Gomez and Lautaro Martinez.
Having comfortably topped their group, La Albiceleste were drawn against Ecuador in the quarter-final, and they picked up another dominant win as Rodrigo De Paul got on the scoresheet before goals from Martinez and Messi sealed a 3-0 victory.
Colombia then awaited Scaloni's side in the semi-final, with a much closer game following as the tie went to a penalty shootout as Luis Diaz levelled the game at 1-1 on the hour mark after Martinez's early opener.
La Albiceleste prevailed in the shootout, as Emiliano Martinez denied Davinson Sanchez, Yerry Mina and Edwin Cardona while Messi, Martinez and Leandro Paredes all made no mistake from 12 yards.
That saw them reach the Copa America final for the 29th time, having most recently got to the big stage in 2016, when they fell to a defeat in a penalty shootout at the hands of Chile.
This strong collection of Argentinian talent will now look to go one better and earn their 15th Copa America title to level Uruguay's record.
| Brazil vs Argentina Copa America Final 2021: Head to Head History and Predictions |
Brazil will face Argentina at the Final Copa America 2021. Check out Head to Head Record History and Prediction, Preview.